Markets · 2026 midterms

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

What podcast experts are calling on this question, one vote per expert, each linked to the episode it was said in.

Odds of YES

5%
closes Nov 3, 2026

Experts with a view

2
last 30 days

Latest call

Oct 14
as of the latest episode

The experts' calls

Each expert's current view: the side of their latest day's calls in the last 30 days, newest first.

  • Bradley Tusk · Prof G Markets

    no

    “roughly 52 Democrats will end up with about 52 seats.”

    Oct 14, 2026 · Episode

  • Shane Lieberman · UBS On-Air: Market Moves

    yes

    “that leaves a 52-48 advantage for Republicans”

    Oct 13, 2026 · Episode

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